Vitalik bets against madness, and it pays.
By Maxime Laurent · 2026-01-28 11:32
Vitalik bets against madness, and it pays.
$70k earned in a year, not by chasing hype, but by fading collective insanity.
Vitalik Buterin casually shared that he made around $70,000 over the past year on prediction markets, deploying roughly $440,000. No leverage. No drama. Just a strategy he calls “anti-insanity mode.”
I love the name already. The idea is simple but powerful: find markets where prices are driven by panic, emotion, or hype, and bet that extreme outcomes won’t happen. Not because you’re smarter — but because crowds tend to lose their heads.
Vitalik points out that many traders massively overprice low-probability events. Fear sells. Chaos clicks. So he takes the other side. Calm, long-term, almost boring. Examples? Betting against Trump winning a Nobel Peace Prize. Or against the dollar suddenly going to zero. Rational bets in an irrational arena.
This isn’t about flexing profit. It’s about mindset. Prediction markets don’t reward excitement — they reward emotional discipline. And that feels very on-brand for the guy who helped build Ethereum without caring much about price noise.
There’s something comforting in this approach. In a world addicted to extremes, sometimes the edge is just… staying sane. Tranquille.
#Ethereum #VitalikButerin #predictionmarkets #crypto #rationality #DeFi #CryptoFriture
$70k earned in a year, not by chasing hype, but by fading collective insanity.
Vitalik Buterin casually shared that he made around $70,000 over the past year on prediction markets, deploying roughly $440,000. No leverage. No drama. Just a strategy he calls “anti-insanity mode.”
I love the name already. The idea is simple but powerful: find markets where prices are driven by panic, emotion, or hype, and bet that extreme outcomes won’t happen. Not because you’re smarter — but because crowds tend to lose their heads.
Vitalik points out that many traders massively overprice low-probability events. Fear sells. Chaos clicks. So he takes the other side. Calm, long-term, almost boring. Examples? Betting against Trump winning a Nobel Peace Prize. Or against the dollar suddenly going to zero. Rational bets in an irrational arena.
This isn’t about flexing profit. It’s about mindset. Prediction markets don’t reward excitement — they reward emotional discipline. And that feels very on-brand for the guy who helped build Ethereum without caring much about price noise.
There’s something comforting in this approach. In a world addicted to extremes, sometimes the edge is just… staying sane. Tranquille.
#Ethereum #VitalikButerin #predictionmarkets #crypto #rationality #DeFi #CryptoFriture
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and not financial advice.