Only 15% of 2025 TGEs made money.

By Maxime Laurent · 2025-12-22 08:58

Only 15% of 2025 TGEs made money.

Most 2025 token launches are deep red, with a brutal -71% median FDV drop. The TGE dream is fading fast.

I’ve been watching TGEs for years, and 2025 feels like the hangover nobody wanted 🥴
Out of 118 projects launched this year, only 15% are in profit today. The rest? Crushed. 100 projects are trading below their launch valuation, with a median FDV drawdown of -71%. That’s not a dip. That’s a free fall.

The worst performers are painful to look at:
🔻 $SYND: -93.64%
🔻 $ANIME: -93.59%
🔻 $BERA: -93.17%

These weren’t obscure ghost launches. Many had hype, narratives, big expectations. And still… wiped.

Now, zoom out. The few winners look insane by contrast:
🚀 $ASTER: +744.56%
🚀 $ESPORTS: +537.76%
🚀 $H: +323.04%

That’s the brutal truth of this market: power-law on steroids. A tiny handful carries all the upside, while the majority slowly bleeds you dry.

For years, people treated TGEs like free money. “Get in early, numbers go up.” That era is over. Today, TGE investing without ruthless selection is basically volunteering to be exit liquidity.

The lesson?
TGE is no longer a strategy. It’s a filtering problem. You’re not looking for a good project. You’re hunting for that 15% — strong distribution, sane valuation, real demand, and timing that doesn’t suck.

Everything else? Noise. Or worse.

Marché dur, mais lucide.

Stay picky, stay patient 🧠
#Crypto #TGE #Altcoins #FDV #CryptoMarket #Investing #CryptoFriture
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Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and not financial advice.