One court ruling that could shake everything.
By Maxime Laurent · 2026-01-14 10:41
One court ruling that could shake everything.
The US Supreme Court may rule on Trump tariffs today, a decision that could trigger chaos across global markets.
This feels like one of those mornings where markets hold their breath.
Today, the Supreme Court of the United States could deliver a verdict on Donald Trump’s tariffs — and this isn’t some abstract legal debate. One decision, and the dominoes start falling.
Trump himself admitted the scale of the risk a few days ago. If the court rules against the tariffs, the US might have to refund hundreds of billions of dollars. That’s not pocket change. That’s a potential budget hole, compensation waves, and political panic wrapped into one.
What really caught my eye this morning: Polymarket puts the odds of the tariffs being upheld at just 29%. Markets are basically betting on pain.
If the ruling is negative, everything gets repriced fast. Fiscal pressure, capital fleeing risk, liquidity drying up — stocks, bonds, and yes, crypto won’t be spared. When uncertainty spikes, correlations go to one. Seen it too many times.
I’ve got that strange calm today. Not bullish, not bearish. Just aware. These are the moments where macro reminds crypto it doesn’t live on an island.
Ça sent la tempête 🌩
#markets #macro #USSupremeCourt #Trump #crypto #volatility #CryptoFriture
The US Supreme Court may rule on Trump tariffs today, a decision that could trigger chaos across global markets.
This feels like one of those mornings where markets hold their breath.
Today, the Supreme Court of the United States could deliver a verdict on Donald Trump’s tariffs — and this isn’t some abstract legal debate. One decision, and the dominoes start falling.
Trump himself admitted the scale of the risk a few days ago. If the court rules against the tariffs, the US might have to refund hundreds of billions of dollars. That’s not pocket change. That’s a potential budget hole, compensation waves, and political panic wrapped into one.
What really caught my eye this morning: Polymarket puts the odds of the tariffs being upheld at just 29%. Markets are basically betting on pain.
If the ruling is negative, everything gets repriced fast. Fiscal pressure, capital fleeing risk, liquidity drying up — stocks, bonds, and yes, crypto won’t be spared. When uncertainty spikes, correlations go to one. Seen it too many times.
I’ve got that strange calm today. Not bullish, not bearish. Just aware. These are the moments where macro reminds crypto it doesn’t live on an island.
Ça sent la tempête 🌩
#markets #macro #USSupremeCourt #Trump #crypto #volatility #CryptoFriture
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and not financial advice.